Should I Buy Xpeng Stock in 2025? Insights for South African Investors

What is Xpeng?

How much is the Xpeng stock?

The price of Xpeng stock is rising this week. As of now, Xpeng trades at $20.10, up 3.98% in the last 24 hours with a 7.66% weekly gain.

Investors in South Africa should note this volatility, which may present both opportunities and risks in the growing global EV sector.

Our complete analysis of the Xpeng stock

After a rigorous review of Xpeng Inc.’s latest financial results and a comprehensive assessment of its stock performance over the last three years, our analysis—grounded in financial indicators, technical patterns, market data, and a structured comparison of competitors—highlights a compelling convergence of bullish signals. Leveraging our proprietary algorithms, we have synthesized a multitude of data sources, uncovering both cyclical and structural catalysts for Xpeng stock. So, why might Xpeng’s shares once again represent a strategic entry point into the global EV and smart mobility sector in 2025?

Recent Performance and Market Context

Xpeng’s stock has rebounded impressively over the past twelve months, marking a transformation that places it among the most dynamic participants in the electric vehicle (EV) segment. The share price now stands at $20.10, a notable leap of 144.82% year-over-year, and a 66.80% gain over six months—clear evidence of renewed investor interest and market momentum. The short-term recovery is equally significant, with a +7.66% gain over the past week and a robust +3.98% move in just the last session.

This strong price performance is underpinned by several positive developments:

• Record Q1 2025 deliveries: 94,008 units, up an unprecedented 331% year-on-year.
• Industry-topping growth: Xpeng's China EV sales now reach 72% of Tesla's, compared to only 17% last year.
• Global expansion in motion: The brand targets presence in 60 markets by end-2025, with a robust export surge (+370% YoY in Q1 2025).

The macroeconomic context also favours Xpeng. Asia’s electrification drive, supportive government frameworks, and technological leadership by Chinese manufacturers fuel the addressable market. As competition intensifies and regulatory environments solidify, well-capitalized and technologically adept players such as Xpeng are well positioned to capitalize on sector tailwinds.

Technical Analysis

A close examination of Xpeng’s technical landscape shows clear indicators that the stock may be entering a new bullish phase:

• Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 55.14 signals healthy momentum without immediate overbought risk—indicative of sustained buying interest.
• Stochastic Oscillator at 77.08 continues to support a ‘buy’ condition, highlighting a positive near-term trend.
• MACD is marginally negative at -0.01, but the weight of broader momentum factors tilts consensus toward the upside.
• Moving Averages: The 20-day and 200-day moving averages are both triggering ‘buy’ signals ($19.68 and $19.86, respectively), with the current price successfully re-testing recent support at $19.14 – $19.52 and now eyeing the key resistance at $20.38. The prevalence of nine buy signals versus a single sell signal in combined technical models further substantiates the idea that the recent pullback is consolidative rather than corrective.
• Support and resistance: The stock is holding above significant support, with ample room to target its recent high and consensus analyst price targets in the mid-$20s.

Technical structures point to resilient, upward momentum in both short- and medium-term horizons—creating opportunities for optimally timed entries, especially as the stock consolidates near multi-month lows before potential new catalysts.

Fundamental Analysis

Xpeng’s recent fundamental performance signals an inflection point in its corporate development:

• Revenue growth remains remarkable, with Q1 2025 sales surging 141.5% YoY to $2.18 billion—handily beating analyst expectations.
• Profitability trajectory: While still loss-making, the net loss narrowed by an impressive 51.5% YoY. Guidance for potential profitability by Q4 2025 is now increasingly credible.
• Volume growth outperforming: Quarterly deliveries set a new record, and guidance for Q2 (102,000–108,000 vehicles) continues to surpass consensus.
• Margins expanding strongly: With a gross margin of 15.6% (an all-time high), and a vehicle margin of 10.5%, Xpeng demonstrates margin recovery—rare among fast-growing EV startups.
• Valuation remains attractive when contextualized: With a price-to-sales (P/S) of 2.74, Xpeng is valued below global peers relative to its growth outlook and market positioning.
• Strategic expansion is in full swing: The firm’s robust $6.24 billion cash position ensures ample firepower for global scaling, while platform innovation (SEPA 2.0 architecture) and bold hiring plans underpin sustainable competitive advantage.

Beyond the numbers, Xpeng has proven itself as a disruptor in the integration of AI-driven autonomous driving and smart connectivity, carving out a formidable brand and technology leadership. The company’s relentless pace of product innovation, coupled with rapidly growing international recognition, positions it as a key beneficiary within the structural growth of the global EV industry.

Volume and Liquidity

Sustained trading volumes above 11 million shares daily reflect deep market liquidity and broad institutional participation. A robust public float of 755 million shares means free trading and healthy price discovery. This dynamic encourages not only retail but also institutional investors to accumulate positions with confidence—fueling upside potential while capping downside volatility in an otherwise high-beta stock (2.63).

Notably, the growing presence of blue-chip institutional holders and recent analyst upgrades (Macquarie, Citigroup) further underpin valuation support at current levels, suggesting that market confidence may continue to drive active accumulation phases as new positive catalysts emerge.

Catalysts and Positive Outlook

A review of upcoming events and medium-term prospects uncovers a roster of catalysts likely to drive renewed buying interest:

• New product launches: The just-launched MONA M03 Max (AI-powered hatchback at $20,000) and the forthcoming G7 SUV set to reach markets in Q2 2025 cater directly to expanding global demand for affordable, intelligent EVs.
• Relentless innovation: Xpeng’s roadmap promises a new or refreshed model nearly every quarter, reinforcing both product cycle robustness and news flow for investors.
• AI and robotics leadership: The advance of city-level ADAS suites and a recently announced 2026 humanoid robotics initiative underscore Xpeng’s role at the frontier of future mobility.
• Charging infrastructure: The commitment to deploy an ultra-fast charging network (starting in Southeast Asia, extending globally) addresses a key pain point in EV adoption and builds enduring ecosystem value.
• Rapid global expansion: Aggressive export growth (+370% YoY in Q1) and ambitious market entries (Europe, Southeast Asia, and planned presence in 60 markets) amplify volume leverage outside the intensely competitive China home market.

Additional sectoral tailwinds—rising EV adoption rates, favorable consumer trends, supportive regulatory policies internationally, and advancing technology adoption curves—create a constructive macro backdrop for further outperformance.

Investment Strategies

Given the present environment, Xpeng stock lends itself to a range of strategically timed entry points:

• Short-term: The current consolidation just above major support ($19.14 – $19.52), with a bullish technical bias and upcoming product launch catalysts, suggests an attractive window for tactical positioning.
• Medium-term: Investors aiming to benefit from the anticipated Q2 earnings beat and continued delivery momentum may look to build or average in over the next quarterly cycle. The run-up to profitability in late 2025 adds medium-term re-rating potential.
• Long-term: For those seeking transformation potential, Xpeng offers a compelling blend of scale, innovation, and global expansion. Its move towards profitability, cash-rich balance sheet, and robust technology pipeline recommend the stock as a core ‘future mobility’ holding.

Technical signals align with the view that we may be experiencing a new uptrend’s formative stages, allowing investors to position ahead of forecasted improvements in both operational and market metrics.

Is it the Right Time to Buy Xpeng?

Integrating findings across technical, fundamental, and strategic dimensions, Xpeng emerges as a uniquely positioned leader within the global EV and autonomous mobility revolution. Key strengths driving conviction include:

• Accelerating revenue and delivery growth, surpassing even ambitious forecasts
• Improving margin profile and credible path to near-term profitability
• Dominance in AI-driven smart vehicles and autonomy, fueling brand differentiation
• Unmatched geographic expansion and export momentum
• Strong cash reserves, supporting innovation and competitive resilience

The convergence of technical “strong buy” signals, analyst upgrades, and a robust pipeline of operational catalysts argue that Xpeng is at an inflection point. The stock’s current valuation, relative to both growth rate and sector peers, seems to represent an excellent opportunity for those seeking exposure to the next generation of global automotive and technology leaders. As Xpeng sets the stage for sustained outperformance in volumes, technology adoption, and market reach, the risk/reward profile appears increasingly skewed to the upside.

For investors in South Africa and beyond, Xpeng stands out as a high-conviction, high-upside participation in the smart EV transformation—one that justifies renewed and growing interest as we head toward 2025 and beyond.

How to buy Xpeng stock in South Africa?

Buying Xpeng stock online is straightforward and secure for South African investors when using a regulated brokerage platform. You have two main options: buying Xpeng shares outright (spot buying) or trading Xpeng share CFDs (Contracts for Difference). Both methods can be completed entirely online, with brokerages providing robust security and compliance with international investing standards. Below, we outline the practical steps and examples for each method, along with an overview of their respective costs. Don’t forget to check the comprehensive broker comparison further down the page before making your choice.

Spot buying: Purchasing Xpeng Shares for Cash

When you buy Xpeng stock for cash, you acquire real shares listed on the NYSE—these are held in your name via your broker. This method lets you become a direct shareholder and benefit from any share price increase or dividends (note: Xpeng currently pays no dividend). Brokers typically charge a fixed fee per trade, often ranging from R100 to R300, or about $5 to $15 USD. Some platforms may also add a small currency conversion charge, since the stock is quoted in US dollars.

Example

Suppose Xpeng trades at $20.10 per share and you convert R19,000 (roughly $1,000) to invest. Deducting a $5 brokerage fee, you could buy around 49 shares ($995 / $20.10 ≈ 49 shares).
✔️ If the share price rises by 10% to $22.11:
Your position is now worth $1,100.
Result: +$100 gross gain, a return of +10% on your investment (before currency and tax considerations).

Trading via CFDs: Speculating on Xpeng’s Price Movements

CFDs (Contracts for Difference) allow you to speculate on Xpeng’s price—up or down—without owning the underlying share. With CFDs, you use leverage, meaning you can access a larger position with a relatively small deposit. Typical fees include the spread (the difference between buy and sell prices) and overnight financing (small daily charge for leveraged positions held overnight).

Example

You open a CFD position on Xpeng with a R19,000 (about $1,000) margin and 5x leverage. This gives you exposure to $5,000 worth of Xpeng shares.
✔️ If Xpeng’s price climbs by 8%:
Your position increases by 8% × 5 (leverage) = 40%.
Result: +$400 profit on your initial R19,000 ($1,000) margin—excluding trading fees and currency fluctuations.

Final Advice: Compare Brokers, Choose Your Strategy

Before buying Xpeng stock, carefully compare brokers’ fees, regulations, and trading conditions—costs can vary, and some may offer better currency conversion rates or lower commissions for South African clients. Remember, cash share ownership suits long-term investors seeking direct asset exposure, while CFD trading is often favoured by those seeking short-term opportunities with leverage. Your final choice should align with your personal investment objectives, risk appetite, and trading experience. For more detail, refer to the broker comparator available further down this page.

Our 7 tips for buying Xpeng stock

The latest news about Xpeng

Xpeng stock advanced 7.66% over the past week, signalling renewed investor confidence driven by strong Q1 results. The company reported record-breaking deliveries of 94,008 vehicles in Q1 2025—a 331% surge year-on-year—with revenues reaching $2.18 billion, significantly beating analyst expectations and narrowing net loss by more than half. This robust sales performance and continued improvement in margins are strong positive signals for South African investors seeking exposure to the fast-growing global electric vehicle sector via US or HK-listed equities, given the limited domestic EV stock options on the JSE.

Xpeng’s global expansion plans include targeting 60 international markets by end of 2025, potentially benefiting future sales and brand awareness in South Africa. While there are no official announcements about imminent entry into ZA, Xpeng’s strategy to aggressively grow exports—up 370% year-on-year in Q1—and its track record of appointing regional partners (such as the recent Baltic states appointment) suggest increasing likelihood of introducing their smart vehicles and AI-driven mobility solutions into new regions. South African analysts should monitor for partnership news, as recent vehicle affordability improvements and rising EV infrastructure investments within ZA could make it a future target for Xpeng’s international roadmap.

Innovation remains a core driver, with the May launch of the MONA M03 Max all-electric hatchback, featuring advanced AI-assisted driving technology at a $20,000 price point. This product, along with a pipeline promising new or revised models every quarter in 2025—including a next-generation P7 sports sedan and the upcoming G7 SUV—cements Xpeng’s position as a technological leader in smart EVs. For ZA stakeholders, such innovation could be relevant for potential joint ventures or technology transfers, especially given South Africa’s automotive assembly sector and ambitions to grow its own EV industry under government transition schemes.

Strong analyst sentiment continues, with recent upgrades from Macquarie and Citigroup and a consensus Buy rating, forecasting more than 24% upside from current levels. The positive outlook is supported by both strong fundamentals—notably, a cash reserve of $6.24 billion and expectation of profitability by Q4 2025—and technical indicators signaling strong upside momentum. South African portfolio managers with global mandates may find Xpeng an attractive thematic play on EV adoption, AI mobility and energy transition, especially as ZA investors increasingly seek exposure to sectors underrepresented on the local exchange.

Xpeng’s focus on rapid technology deployment—including a new global ultra-fast charging infrastructure, smart connectivity, and a just-announced 2026 robotics strategy—positions it for significant long-term growth, promising spillover benefits for markets adopting advanced EV solutions. If Xpeng chooses to extend its fast-charging and autonomous driving platforms to Southern Africa, local charging network providers, tech integrators, and automotive players could benefit from strategic collaboration opportunities, contributing to South Africa’s broader goals of smart mobility and innovation-driven economic development.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.