Should You Buy The Graph in 2025?

Why trust HelloSafe?

At HelloSafe, our specialist has been monitoring the evolution of The Graph cryptocurrency for over three years. Each month, hundreds of thousands of users in South Africa trust us to analyse market trends and identify the best investment opportunities. Our analyses are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. In line with our ethical charter, HelloSafe has never purchased The Graph nor received compensation from entities associated with its ecosystem.

The Graph in brief

How much does 1 The Graph cost?

The price of The Graph is up this week. Currently, GRT is trading at approximately R1.70, with a 24-hour gain of +2.63% and steady performance over the past week.

As with all digital assets, GRT’s price can be volatile—offering both risks and opportunities to investors in South Africa.

Our full review of the cryptocurrency The Graph

Have recent on-chain trends and macro-level shifts signalled the return of The Graph (GRT) as a cornerstone in the Web3 data infrastructure ecosystem? Over the past three years, we have dissected The Graph’s trajectory with a rigorous blend of on-chain analytics, technical signals, live market data, and a comparative sector review—all processed through our proprietary multi-factor algorithms. So, what catalysts could make The Graph a renewed strategic entry point in the blockchain data and Layer ecosystem as soon as 2025?

Performance overview and recent market context

Recent price evolution

The Graph’s current price stands at $0.0918 (as of June 7, 2025), registering a robust +68.8% gain year-on-year and +17.3% over the last semester. These figures reflect a strong recovery phase from the 2022–2023 bear market, driven in part by resurging appetite for infrastructure tokens as Web3 adoption accelerates. Over shorter timeframes, GRT has highlighted resilience, with daily volume averaging ~$33M and a market cap of $904.6M, maintaining its ranks just outside the top 75 global digital assets.

Positive recent events

Key positive developments include record network activity, with query volumes reaching an all-time high of 6.14 billion (+3.2% QoQ), and the adoption of the Chainlink Interoperability Standard for cross-chain transfers—significantly expanding GRT’s utility and addressable market. Strategic integrations with DeFi leaders (Uniswap, Aave, Compound), alongside its multi-chain expansion to ecosystems like Arbitrum and Base, further solidify its real-world relevance.

Macro and sectoral context

Amidst an environment where crypto infrastructure protocols are increasingly recognized as foundational to the evolving digital economy, The Graph occupies a unique position as the leading decentralized indexing protocol. The macro backdrop is cautiously optimistic: regulatory risks linger, but the global push towards institutional-grade blockchain solutions underpins sustained demand for persistent, reliable data services. The bullishness in the sector is further validated by strong community sentiment (71% bullish), and continued capital inflows from established Web3 investors.

Technical analysis

Key crypto indicators

Technical signals for The Graph currently sit in a transitional zone. The RSI (14d) stands at 35.2—near neutral, signaling neither overbought nor oversold, but Stochastic %K is at 11.79, indicating a deeply oversold condition and possible underlying accumulation. The MACD remains negative (-0.0041), reflecting lingering corrective momentum, but such conditions have historically acted as springboards for medium-term reversals in quality infrastructure assets.

Moving averages and support/resistance

GRT currently trades below all key moving averages: 20-day ($0.1033), 50-day ($0.1023), 100-day ($0.0972), and 200-day ($0.1526). While the “all-MA” bearish configuration is a caution sign, recent stabilization above the critical $0.089–$0.093 support zone, and repeated rebounds from the $0.0769 threshold, reinforce the presence of institutional buyers on dips. Immediate resistance bands ($0.107–$0.119) remain key breakout levels; an eventual flip above $0.119 would strongly validate the start of a major trend reversal.

Momentum and short/mid-term structure

Despite near-term pressure, momentum indicators are approaching exhaustion of the downtrend—creating the set-up for a technical re-rating should broader crypto market liquidity cycle favour return. Traders monitoring stochastic and RSI pivots could interpret imminent upside as a high-conviction zone for accumulation.

Fundamental analysis

Growing adoption, partnerships, and ecosystem expansion

The Graph’s core strength is underpinned by its unrivaled adoption across Web3. Serving as the go-to data API for a majority of blue-chip DeFi protocols, GRT’s network effects are accelerating: over 3,000 subgraphs deployed, and integration with trending Layer 2s like Arbitrum and Polygon is driving exponential query growth. The latest Chainlink interoperability expands The Graph’s multi-chain reach, fostering new enterprise and cross-protocol use cases.

Relative valuation (Market Cap, FDV, TVL)

At a market cap of $904.6M and a fully diluted valuation in the $990M range, The Graph trades on highly attractive multiples compared to smaller-cap data infrastructures with inferior real-world traction. Its market leadership and liquidity (daily volumes >$30M, top 10 on-record for liquidity in its cohort) are aligned with the token’s ability to weather volatility and attract both institutional and retail flows.

Structural advantages: Innovation, community, and differentiation

As the clear technological frontrunner in decentralized indexing, The Graph’s protocol innovations (staking, curation, cross-chain support) reinforce robust token utility across multiple user profiles—indexers, curators, and delegates—all benefitting from reward mechanics. The project is backed by tier-1 investors (Coinbase Ventures, DCG) and an active developer community, further elevating its moat versus emerging challengers.

Volume and liquidity

Liquidity is consistently strong, with GRT deeply integrated into leading centralized (Binance, Coinbase) and decentralized exchanges. High spot volumes and pervasive staking contribute to persistent demand dynamics, typically translating to rapid price responses when sentiment or fundamentals inflect.

Market dominance and positioning

With a top-75 rank and dominance in the blockchain data sector, The Graph stands apart as the “index layer” of Web3. Its expanding integration base and technological network effects maintain a commanding lead over alternative data-API solutions.

Catalysts and positive outlook

GRT’s next growth phase is set to be catalysed by:

• Scheduled protocol upgrades enhancing performance and developer tooling
• Cross-chain integrations set to unlock new DeFi, NFT, and enterprise domains
• Multi-ecosystem adoption across L2s and EVM-compatible chains
• An increasingly institutional approach toward data infrastructure allocation
• Prospects for regulatory clarity and compliant staking frameworks

Should macro conditions align, these drivers could position The Graph in direct path for capital rotation into high-utility, real-yield tokens.

Investment strategies across horizons

Short-term (1-3 months)

For active investors, current price consolidation just above major supports could be a zone of tactical accumulation, especially with oversold oscillators potentially front-running a market-wide technical rebound. Volatility remains elevated—risk management and nimble positioning are essential until a confirmed break of resistance ($0.119) shifts the pattern.

Medium-term (3-12 months)

The combination of high network activity, imminent protocol upgrades, and more positive sentiment cycles suggests the potential for GRT to outperform its recent range. Macro tailwinds related to Web3 infrastructure adoption, plus new integrations, provide foundational arguments for reallocating into The Graph at or near current levels, especially on any technical retest of support.

Long-term (1-5 years)

For long-horizon investors seeking exposure to the data backbone of Web3, The Graph offers a compelling value proposition. Its expanding moat—via multi-chain deployment, developer adoption, recurring utility in DeFi, and a mature staking economy—creates deep compounding potential. Allocating on major pullbacks, or prior to major network upgrade announcements, could secure strategic entry points into a protocol central to the next internet phase.

The Graph – Price Projections (2025–2029)

Is now the time to consider The Graph?

The Graph emerges in mid-2025 as one of the most robust and undervalued digital assets in the blockchain infrastructure sector. The blend of accelerating network adoption, powerful integrations (including Chainlink and leading DeFi protocols), strong daily liquidity, and a supportive environment for Web3 data solutions provides solid fundamentals. Technically, the asset is forming a base near historical supports—often fertile ground for trend reversals, especially when paired with oversold momentum signals.

Looking ahead, the convergence of protocol upgrades, multi-chain adoption, and institutional focus on data infrastructure marks The Graph as a front-runner to benefit from both cyclical recoveries and the secular growth of Web3. While remaining mindful of volatility and competitive risks, the current setup—both technical and fundamental—justifies renewed attention.

Ultimately, The Graph presents an excellent opportunity for investors seeking exposure to the growth engine of blockchain data. With credible upside potential supported by both quantitative and qualitative factors, GRT could well embark on a new bullish phase across 2025 and beyond. The price outlook outlined above reinforces why The Graph deserves a place on the radar of any forward-looking portfolio focused on blockchain infrastructure and Web3.

The Graph remains a high-volatility digital asset, offering dynamic investment opportunities paired with the necessity for disciplined risk management. Its recent price action highlights the protocol’s capacity for rapid, powerful moves, while macro market evolution underscores the importance of selectivity for optimal portfolio construction. Key technical levels to watch are $0.089 as immediate support and $0.119 as resistance; the upcoming protocol upgrade, scheduled for Q3 2025, could act as a pivotal catalyst in shaping the next trajectory for The Graph.

How to buy The Graph?

It’s simple and secure to buy The Graph (GRT) cryptocurrency online in South Africa, provided you use a regulated platform. You have two main ways to gain exposure: you can buy GRT coins directly (spot purchase), or you can speculate on its price with crypto CFDs (contracts for difference). Each method has its own advantages and risk profile. To help you decide, you’ll find a detailed comparison of trusted platforms further down this page.

Spot Purchase

Spot purchase means you buy The Graph (GRT) coins and become the real owner—they’re stored in your crypto wallet, either on the platform or externally. This is the most popular method for long-term investors who want actual possession. On most regulated South African exchanges, expect a fixed transaction commission, typically around 0.25% to 1%, or a small flat fee in ZAR.

Important example

Example: Suppose The Graph’s price is $0.0918 (about R1.70 based on an exchange rate of $1 = R18.50). With R18,500 (about €1,000) you could purchase roughly 10,882 GRT tokens (R18,500 / R1.70). Most platforms would charge around R90 in transaction fees.

Gain Scenario

✔️ Gain Scenario: If the GRT price rises 10% (to R1.87), your portfolio becomes worth R20,350. That’s a gross gain of R1,850 (+10%) on your original R18,500.

Trading via CFD

Trading The Graph via CFDs means you don’t actually own the coins—instead, you speculate on their price change. CFDs let you use leverage, increasing both potential gains and risks. You’ll pay a spread (the difference between buy and sell prices) and, if you hold overnight, additional financing fees.

Important example

Example: You open a CFD position on GRT with R18,500 and a 5x leverage. This means your market exposure is R92,500 (R18,500 × 5).

Gain Scenario

✔️ Gain Scenario: If The Graph’s price moves up by 8%, your position gains 8% × 5 = 40%. That’s a profit of R7,400 on your R18,500 stake (excluding fees and costs).

Final Advice

Always review and compare fees, security, and conditions of each trading platform before investing. The right method depends on your investment goals and experience—whether you seek real coin ownership or dynamic trading with leverage. For a detailed, up-to-date comparison of reputable platforms available in South Africa, see the table lower down this page.

Our 7 tips for buying The Graph

The latest news from The Graph

The Graph reported all-time high query volume for Q1 2025, signaling increasing network utility and engagement. Over the past quarter, The Graph processed 6.14 billion data queries, a 3.2% increase quarter-on-quarter and a significant vote of confidence in its role as a core Web3 infrastructure provider. With the rise of decentralized applications and broader DeFi adoption—trends closely mirrored in the South African crypto ecosystem, notably in fintech and remittances—The Graph's scalable indexing technology is seeing heightened use for services like Uniswap and Aave, both highly popular among South African users. This continued network growth, despite a mild dip in direct service revenue, suggests a healthy, engaged user base and offers promising long-term fundamentals.

Chainlink interoperability and multi-chain expansion create new adoption pathways, relevant for South African cross-chain needs. During the last week, The Graph implemented the Chainlink Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol to facilitate GRT transfers across blockchains such as Arbitrum and Base, on top of its traditional Ethereum backbone. For South African traders and institutions seeking reduced fees, improved bridging, and broader DeFi opportunities, these technical improvements open up access to new dApps and yield protocols. The move directly addresses a common constraint in the region: the need for cross-chain value transfer at scale and low cost, increasing the practical appeal of GRT for local investment and enterprise solutions.

The sentiment and technical analysis remain neutral, but oversold signals and bullish community outlook could support near-term recovery. Technical indicators for GRT have shown a persistently bearish pattern, with the token trading below all significant moving averages; however, the stochastic oscillator indicates that the asset is currently oversold, often a precursor to price rebounds. Community sentiment, as tracked on channels like CoinGecko, remains strongly bullish at 71%. In the context of the high volatility and rapid demand shifts experienced on South African exchanges, such signals are noteworthy for traders and funds seeking to time market entry or weigh risk versus reward.

South African users continue to benefit from high GRT liquidity and robust utility on leading global platforms, supporting easy access and staking options. GRT maintains deep liquidity on top-tier exchanges like Binance and Coinbase, both of which are widely used by South African retail and institutional players accessing global crypto markets. The ongoing availability of staking rewards via delegation mechanisms offers a passive income stream for local holders, fitting well with South Africa’s active staking culture and providing a further incentive in a landscape marked by persistent inflation and currency volatility.

Analyst forecasts offer cautiously optimistic upside projections, aligning with growing African Web3 adoption and investment trends. Consensus price targets for GRT in 2025 range from $0.17 to $1.00, reflecting the project’s strong fundamentals and leadership position in blockchain data services. Given South Africa’s increasing participation in Web3, including a growing developer community and enhanced adoption of DeFi protocols integrating The Graph, these forecasts signal a positive alignment between global analyst views and regional technological momentum. This convergence supports a constructive medium-term outlook for GRT as part of diversified digital asset portfolios in ZA.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.